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Weighted On-Target Percentage: Does the play on the field warrant the summer hype?

Weighted On-Target Percentage: Does the play on the field warrant the summer hype?

After a successful 2024 season, what does Robertson's ball placement and accuracy profile say about his 2026 NFL Draft standing?

Cory Kinnan's avatar
Cory Kinnan
Jun 30, 2025
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Daft on Draft
Daft on Draft
Weighted On-Target Percentage: Does the play on the field warrant the summer hype?
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Sawyer Robertson appears to be one of the fan favorites in this 2026 NFL Draft quarterback class this summer, but does his ball placement and accuracy profile, as well as the tape, live up to that?

Robertson has gotten a great deal of hype entering the 2025 season and the 2026 NFL Draft summer scouting cycle. The Mississippi State transfer stole the starting job away from Toledo transfer Dequan Finn after early-season struggles. He went on to throw for over 3,000 yards, 28 touchdowns, and eight interceptions for the Bears in 2024.

He has attended the Manning Passing Academy this summer, and more. However, as he gets set to enter his final season of eligibility, is Robertson a legitimate NFL Draft prospect that demands early attention?

We’ll lean on his ball placement and accuracy profile through my metric, Weighted On-Target Percentage, to find the answer. He is one of 13 quarterbacks who has a full charted profile up on the site, so let’s dive into it.

Here are the other Weighted On-Target Percentage profiles completed to this point in the offseason:

  • South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers

  • Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza

  • Michigan State’s Aidan Chiles

  • Penn State’s Drew Allar

  • Clemson’s Cade Klubnik

  • LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier

If you want to see the full charting broken down into each game, you can find my Weighted On-Target Percentage database here.

So, what does the tape and accuracy profile of Robertson say about his 2026 NFL Draft status with just around two months until the start of his Redshirt Senior season?

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